Lenoir, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 43°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: SSW 8 mph
  • Humidity: 41%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 21°
  • Pressure: 30.02 in. +
  • Heat Index: 38

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Next 12 Hours

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Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
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43°
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Friday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 20 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 29 °
  • Low: 16 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 34 °
  • Low: 21 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Ice Pellets
  • High: 30 °
  • Low: 29 °
  • Ice Pellets
  • Tuesday
  • Rain
  • High: 48 °
  • Low: 30 °
  • Rain

Forecast for Lenoir, North Carolina

Updated: 3:12 PM EST on February 12, 2016

  • Tonight

    Partly cloudy. Cold with lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

  • Saturday

    Sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly clear. Cold with lows around 13. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 20s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Cloudy. A chance of snow after midnight. Little or no snow accumulation. Cold with lows in the lower 20s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of snow 50 percent.

  • Washingtons Birthday

    Snow likely. Sleet likely with freezing rain in the afternoon. Moderate snow accumulation. Highs in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.

  • Monday Night

    Rain and freezing rain. Near steady temperatures in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy. Rain and freezing rain likely...mainly in the morning. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s.

  • Thursday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows around 30.

  • Friday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Highland Ave, Lenoir, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 44.8 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Patterson, Lenoir, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 42.1 °F Dew Point: 21 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Blue Creek Rd, Lenoir, NC

Updated: 3:25 PM EST

Temperature: 41.4 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: WNW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Deer Creek, Hudson, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 40.9 °F Dew Point: 22 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: South at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Granite Falls, NC

Updated: 6:24 PM GST

Temperature: 42.7 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: SW at 5.0 mph Pressure: 26.47 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Darby, Ferguson, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 39.2 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: Gold Run Road, Ferguson, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 30.7 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 31 °F Graphs

Location: Hillside Street SW, Valdese, NC

Updated: 3:25 PM EST

Temperature: 42.6 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: North at - Pressure: 28.82 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: BurkeWeather.com, Valdese, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 43.3 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Barrett Mt, Taylorsville, NC

Updated: 3:20 PM EST

Temperature: 37.4 °F Dew Point: 22 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 37 °F Graphs

Location: WR4AY, Connellys Springs, NC

Updated: 3:03 PM EST

Temperature: 40.4 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: ESE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Burkemont, Morganton, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 43.0 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: SW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: St. Stephens Park, Hickory, NC

Updated: 3:24 PM EST

Temperature: 43.2 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: SE at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Salem Community, Morganton, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 42.2 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: WNW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Sedona Summit @ BRMC, Boone, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 31.8 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

Location: Bamboo, Boone, NC

Updated: 3:18 PM EST

Temperature: 31.3 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: WSW at 6.3 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 25 °F Graphs

Location: Coffey Gap, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:15 PM EST

Temperature: 33.6 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: NNW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 28 °F Graphs

Location: Fair Acres Lane, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 32.9 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 33 °F Graphs

Location: Tarry Acres Circle - Behind Green Park Inn, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:13 PM EST

Temperature: 29.3 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: WNW at 6.8 mph Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 22 °F Graphs

Location: Laurel Lane, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:16 PM EST

Temperature: 30.4 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: North at - Pressure: 26.20 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 30 °F Graphs

Location: Heavenly Mountains, Boone, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 30.6 °F Dew Point: 6 °F Humidity: 34% Wind: WNW at 2.5 mph Pressure: 27.48 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 31 °F Graphs

Location: Misty Mountain, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 31.1 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 30% Wind: WNW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 27 °F Graphs

Location: Ravens Ridge Circle, Boone, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 31.8 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

Location: Boone Fork/Blowing Rock, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:20 PM EST

Temperature: 34.5 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: NW at 8.0 mph Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 28 °F Graphs

Location: Green Hill Circle, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:25 PM EST

Temperature: 28.9 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 29 °F Graphs

Location: Saddle Springs, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 30.8 °F Dew Point: -5 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: East at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 31 °F Graphs

Location: Sorrento, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 27.8 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: East at 17.7 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: Raven Hill, Blowing Rock, NC

Updated: 3:26 PM EST

Temperature: 34.9 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 35 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 
241 PM EST Friday Feb 12 2016 


Synopsis... 
as a weak surface trough departs the forecast area tonight... 
northwest winds in advance of an Arctic high pressure system will 
usher in very cold temperatures for this weekend. The high pressure 
will settle over the eastern U.S. Through early Monday. A strong low 
pressure system bringing heavy precipitation moves slowly across the 
area during the day on Monday and departs the area Tuesday morning. 


&& 


Near term /through Saturday/... 
at 230 PM Friday...an upper trough will progress over the East Coast 
tonight and Saturday. Channeled vorticity rounding the trough will 
off the Carolina coast tonight...while more channeled energy remains 
farther north. Meanwhile...a surface low will move off the Carolina 
coast this afternoon...while surface winds veer from SW to northwest... 
becoming quite gusty at higher elevations...and downslope flow 
leads to drying in the Lee of the mountains. Moist northwest flow into the 
NC mountain bordering Tennessee will keep snow showers going there 
overnight...with a diminishing trend on Saturday. 


Low temperatures overnight will run around 10 degrees below normal. 
The Winter Weather Advisory for snow accumulations of over two 
inches will be left up in the NC mountains bordering Tennessee...answer will 
the wind chill and Wind Advisory for late tonight and early Saturday 
for the northern NC mountains and high elevations of the southern 
and central NC mountains bordering Tennessee. High temperatures on Saturday 
will run around 18 degrees below normal. 


&& 


Short term /Saturday night through Monday night/... 
as of 245 PM EST Friday...the short term is a mess...but I 
suppose most users want more information than just that. The 
synoptic pattern for the first part of the short term is fairly 
straightforward with a deep upper trough over the eastern Seaboard 
and a very cold Arctic surface high building in from the northwest 
with deep-layer strong cold air advection spreading across the area. Winds 
and resulting wind chills will continue to be an issue at the 
beginning of the period but should taper off as the surface high 
builds in. With that...expect low temperatures Sunday morning to 
be very cold...teens and low 20s across the upstate...with single 
digits in the northern mountains. Recovery on Sunday afternoon 
will be minuscule with barely half the forecast area getting above 
freezing...maybe some upper 30s down south. 


Meanwhile the aforementioned mess gets geared up over the northern 
plains and upper Midwest as a shortwave dives down...with a 
secondary wave dipping into the plains out of the northern 
rockies. Moisture will increase across the deep south ahead of 
the approaching front...while the surface high shifts east and 
tries to dam down the eastern Seaboard in a very progressive 
hybrid cad. Definitely some uncertainty here as by the time the 
precipitation starts to overspread our forecast area...the parent 
high is offshore thereby no longer supplying a source of good low 
level cold air advection...but evaporational cooling into the cold and dry surface 
layer may help to create a bit of insitu damming. A lot will depend 
on where exactly the dewpoints are at precipitation /virga/ onset. 


Additionally...as if taking diabatic processes into account isn't 
difficult enough...there is still significant uncertainly on 
location of the surface low. 12z GFS has shifted farther south 
/say from Augusta to Raleigh/...which would naturally result in 
greater chances for wintry precipitation. However...the new 12z European model (ecmwf) 
takes the surface low on the northwest side of the Appalachians...which 
would cut off any wintry potential for most of our area by midday 
Monday. Wpc guidance suggested sticking with the 12z European model (ecmwf)/00z 
European model (ecmwf) ensemble mean position...which is all well and good except 
those data are not available for US to use operationally. Tried 
to take a blend of the operational 12z GFS and European model (ecmwf)...but again 
European model (ecmwf) data are limited...so in the end our forecast is probably 
on the cool /and pessimistic/ side of guidance. As an example 
however...taking the raw GFS vs. European model (ecmwf)...the differences in high 
temperatures Monday for gsp are 33 vs 39 respectively...and for clt it 
is worse with 34 vs. 46 respectively. 


So what we have as the system approaches is a very cold column 
and when precipitation begins...it will begin as all snow. As the 
surface low approaches...while surface winds remain northeasterly 
in response to the insitu damming...winds aloft will pick up out of 
the south and warm air advection atop the cold dome will instigate a changeover 
from snow to sleet to freezing rain from south to north. Probably 
all rain across most of the area...except maybe the mountains and 
northern tier...by Monday evening. I cannot emphasize enough that 
confidence is --very-- low on actual temperatures and thus ptype 
transition...and thus snow and ice accums. But speaking of the 
latter...currently our grids have from a trace snow across the 
upstate to 3-4 inches across the mountains through the end of the 
short term /12z Tuesday...more snow with wraparound precipitation as we 
transition into the extended/...with trace ice across the upstate 
to a maximum of around 1/4 inch across the northern mountains. This 
actually lines up pretty well with wpc guidance for now...but 
I will reemphasize once again that confidence is low and there 
is quite a bit of uncertainty especially on southern extent of 
wintry precipitation. Highest confidence /big surprise/ is across 
the mountains. 


&& 


Long term /Tuesday through Friday/... 
as of 230 PM EST Friday...the thinking with regard to the end of the 
early-week event has not changed much. The latest model guidance 
still shows the primary surface low to our east or northeast at 
daybreak Tuesday...and the low should pull away rapidly to the 
northeast during the morning. That should bring a gradual end to the 
precipitation probability from SW to NE over most of the region during the 
morning and early afternoon...with the thinking that the European model (ecmwf) 
probably holds onto the precipitation a bit too long across the NC 
Piedmont. The transition to a northwest flow event will take place during 
Tuesday afternoon and evening. If there is some controversy...it is 
between the GFS and European model (ecmwf) with regard to the timing and track of a 
follow-up wave. The GFS has a distinct break in the action around 
dusk on Tuesday...and then moves the wave much farther north...across 
the central Appalachians Wednesday morning. Meanwhile...the European model (ecmwf) 
shows no such break...and has the follow up wave actually diving S 
of the forecast area late Tuesday night. The problem with that solution 
is that it could spell another stripe of light snow early Wednesday 
morning across NE Georgia and upstate SC...similar to what happened 
earlier today. That would be a low predictability event out at day 
6...so a scenario closer to the GFS is favored. Precipitation chances ramp 
back up a bit...in the chance range...along the Tennessee border for 
Tuesday night and through much of the day Wednesday. If the GFS is 
correct...the moisture gradually diminishes Wednesday evening. The 
potential for significant snow with this event is not particularly 
high. The flow looks to be more westerly...and backwards 
trajectories calculated at 12z Wednesday show that air streams will 
originate or pass over the northern plains...missing the Great Lakes 
entirely. With no Great Lakes connection and snow already on the ground 
in Kentucky and Tennessee to limit surface fluxes of heat and moisture...this 
probably will not even reach advisory criteria. After the northwest flow 
winds down...the rest of the forecast is benign with heights steadily 
rising in a progressive upper pattern. Surface high pressure will build 
back in Thursday through Friday...and temperatures should moderate 
considerably...back to five degrees or so above normal. 


&& 


Aviation /20z Friday through Wednesday/... 
at kclt...snowfall remains possible very early in the forecast... 
with resulting visibility and ceiling restrictions. Improvement is expected 
this afternoon...as snow moves off to the east. NE winds are expected 
to shift to SW this afternoon...then veer northwest this evening behind a 
departing low pressure system. Wind gust potential will increase 
overnight and early Tuesday. 


At kavl...snow showers with ceiling and visibility restrictions may linger in 
the vicinity this afternoon and evening...backing off toward the Tennessee 
border toward dawn. Northwest winds will increase as a low pressure system 
departs and the pressure gradient tightens ahead of high pressure. 


Elsewhere...snow showers will move off to the east...with ceilings and 
visibility improving. Winds will favor the west this afternoon and 
evening...veering northwest overnight...with gust potential gradually 
increasing. 


Outlook...an Arctic air mass will build over the region this 
weekend...with upslope clouds on the west side of the Appalachians. 
A significant winter weather system is possible early next week. 


Confidence table... 


19-01z 01-07z 07-13z 13-18z 
kclt high 91% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
kgsp high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
kavl high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
khky high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
kgmu high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
kand high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 


The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing 
with the schedule taf issuance flight rule category. Complet hourly 
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts 
are available at the following link: 


Www.Weather.Gov/gsp/aviation 


&& 


Gsp watches/warnings/advisories... 
Georgia...none. 
NC...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 am EST Saturday for ncz033- 
048>052. 
Wind Chill Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 am EST Sunday 
for ncz033-049-050. 
Wind Chill Advisory from midnight tonight to noon EST Saturday 
for ncz048-051-052-058-059. 
SC...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...jmp 
near term...jat 
short term...tdp 
long term...PM 
aviation...jat 






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