Waxhaw, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 74°
  • Clear
  • Wind: SW 7 mph
  • Humidity: 79%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 67°
  • Pressure: 30.06 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
73°
71°
72°
82°
85°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 67 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 89 °
  • Low: 69 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 71 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 71 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Waxhaw, North Carolina

Updated: 1:11 am EDT on July 5, 2015

  • Overnight

    Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Near steady temperatures in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely...mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Tuesday and Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Highs around 90. Lows around 70.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly sunny in the morning...then partly sunny with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

  • Wednesday Night and Thursday

    Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

  • Friday

    Partly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the evening. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

  • Saturday

    Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Gragson Estate, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 1:59 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.61 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Providence Grove, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 1:58 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.7 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Weddington Chase - Marvin, NC, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 1:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.5 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Beechwood - Marvin NC, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 1:58 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Oakbrook, Marvin, NC

Updated: 1:49 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.4 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Hollister, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 2:00 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Chastain Village, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 1:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.1 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: WNW at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Farmbrook, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 1:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 75.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Tyndale Court, Marvin, NC

Updated: 1:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 77.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Willow Oaks, Weddington, NC

Updated: 1:49 AM EDT

Temperature: 75.2 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Firethorne Country Club, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 1:59 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: West at 1.6 mph Pressure: 29.42 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Van Wyck, SC

Updated: 2:00 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: SW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Providence Crossing, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 1:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Holly Park Villas, Indian Trail, NC

Updated: 1:51 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: SSW at 3.1 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Alton, Monroe, NC

Updated: 2:00 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: WSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Provincetowne, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 1:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Reavencrest, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 1:48 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.6 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: WNW at 1.7 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Bridgehampton, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 1:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Bridgehampton SC, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 1:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.8 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Rosemont, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 1:58 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.6 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Ballantyne, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 1:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.7 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Argentum Avenue, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 1:56 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Savannah Hills, Matthews, NC

Updated: 1:58 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Inverness at Piper Glen, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 1:58 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.2 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: West Green Street, Monroe, NC

Updated: 1:55 AM EDT

Temperature: 76.6 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Providence Plantation, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 1:56 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.8 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Kerry Greens, Matthews, NC

Updated: 1:48 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.8 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: South at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Quail Meadow, Rock Hill, SC

Updated: 1:59 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.8 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Sandy Pointe, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 1:46 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: ESE at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Walnut Creek, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 2:00 AM EDT

Temperature: 73.3 °F Dew Point: -33 °F Humidity: - Wind: SW at 5.1 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 
134 am EDT sun Jul 5 2015 


Synopsis... 
a broad upper level trough will remain over the southeast through 
Monday...providing lift and maintaining elevated rain and 
thunderstorm chances each day. Slightly drier conditions return 
Tuesday and Wednesday...before a front becomes nearly stationary 
just north of our region late in the week. High temperatures will 
remain below average into Monday...then warm to around seasonal 
normals for the rest of the week. 


&& 


Near term /through today/... 
as of 130 am EDT Sunday...first wave of precipitation continues to slide 
northward into western NC at this time. Rates havent been all that 
impressive...and are not expected to increase as best Thermo forcing 
remains to the south which is evident on latest Storm Prediction Center MUCAPE plots. 
Tweaked probability of precipitation over the western tier of the forecast area to account for 
coverage and campop trends. Otherwise...partly/mostly cloudy skies 
prevail therefore no sig changes were made/needed in the immediate 
near term. 


Previous discussion... 


As of 215 PM EDT...nearly the entire forecast area remains fairly 
stable this afternoon under abundant middle clouds with patchy light 
rain showers falling intermittently. Mountain showers are starting to show 
some vertical development...and a few breaks over the NC foothills 
and the eastern fringe hold out some chance for isolated thunderstorms to redevelop 
in line with the hrrr. Otherwise...500 mb heights continue to fall 
across the MS River Valley this afternoon...and height falls will 
continue eastward across Tennessee tonight through Sunday. Intermittent 
shortwaves will pivot east through the forecast area around this 
upper trough during this period. In addition...the entrance region 
of an upper jetlet will remain parked just west of the southern 
Appalachians through the near term...although the jetlet looks a bit 
weaker than in previous model runs. At the surface...a stalled front 
remains draped north and west of the area this afternoon...with a 
lingering surface trough axis stretched out well to the south in the 
better instability. Given all of these various forcing 
mechanisms...along with continued west-southwest upslope into the SW mountains...and 
precipitable water values running 1.5 to 1.75 inches over the 
area...anticipate the precipitation coverage making a comeback from 
the west tonight through Sunday. Other than any lingering diurnal 
shra/tsra...a fairly sharp west to east gradient will be featured on 
probability of precipitation...with the SW mountains the clear focus for any higher end 
upslope quantitative precipitation forecast. No changes are needed at present to the flash Flood Advisory. Will 
continue a smaller than climatology range on min/maximum temperatures. 


&& 


Short term /tonight through Tuesday/... 
as of 205 PM Sunday...rising heights aloft will be the primary story 
of the short term...as the upper low fills and slowly lifts into the 
mid-Atlantic...and an upper ridge axis begins building over the 
southeast states. This will result in a marked change to the 
thermodynamic character of the air mass across the area...from 
unseasonably moist and relatively cool conditions...to much more 
seasonal levels of heat and humidity by Tuesday afternoon. 


Chances for showers and thunderstorms Sunday night into Monday will 
be highest across northern and far western zones...as the upper low 
meanders just west of the Appalachians. As the deeper moisture lifts 
into the mid-Atlantic...the Hydro threat is expected to wane Monday 
afternoon...while there may be an uptick in the local severe storm 
potential...especially across the southern half of the forecast 
area...where less cloud cover is anticipated. By Tuesday...a return 
to a more typical diurnal deep convective cycle is expected...with 
the potential for isolated strong-to-severe pulse storms. 


&& 


Long term /Tuesday night through Saturday/... 
as of 230 PM Independence day...the medium range begins 00z 
Wednesday as a frontal boundary steered by an upper trough over the 
Central Plains/Great Lakes region continues its eastward progression 
towards the forecast area. 500 mb heights begin to flatten late 
Wednesday...and by Thursday an Atlantic upper high with surface 
reflection intrudes into the southeast. Global models diverge with 
the handling of this feature and above-mentioned front. The GFS is 
more bullish on the northward and westward extent of the high...and 
therefore acts to somewhat block the approaching front and keep 
main impacts from a series of weak surface lows/impulses farther to 
the north of the County warning forecast area. The European model (ecmwf) keeps the high pressure feature 
farther to the south...so the track remains a bit farther to the 
south than the GFS. There is agreement that some type of impulse/low 
will develop over the Central Plains Friday...though models again 
diverge on both timing and strength of the feature. Went with a 
blend of the faster/weaker GFS and slower/stronger European model (ecmwf) as no 
particular solution stands out as more likely at this point. Probability of precipitation 
were therefore elevated Friday night. 


Overall...southwesterly flow driven by the Bermuda high will lend 
itself to more of a Gulf fetch...keeping deep layer moisture 
abundant through most of the period. A lack of good upper forcing 
combined with somewhat unimpressive instability for middle-Summer will 
lend itself to mainly diurnal probability of precipitation near climatology for most of the 
period...though the previously mentioned low/frontal boundary will 
enhance the diurnal probability of precipitation later in the week. Both maximum and min temperatures 
will remain near to just above climatology through the entire medium 
range. 


&& 


Aviation /06z Sunday through Thursday/... 
at kclt...VFR conditions will prevail through the taf cycle with the 
possible exception of MVFR restrictions associated with middle morning 
rain showers...and possible afternoon thunderstorms and rain. Initialized taf with light SW 
winds under scattered middle to broken high clouds. A 3hr tempo was added from 
11z-14z as latest hrrr indicates band of rain showers riding up the i85 
corridor around or just after daybreak. Otherwise...gusty SW winds 
today with scattered low VFR clouds under broken high level cirrostratus. 
Prob30 carries over from previous taf cycle to account for any 
additional convective development this afternoon. Winds will 
subside after sunset as the mixed layer erodes along with rising 
middle/high level ceilings. 


Elsewhere...higher precipitation chances than that of kclt above...however 
trends are fairly similar with slight timing adjustments. 
Initialized all tafs VFR with some deterioration forecast at kavl as 
current precipitation slides northeast over the airfield within an hour or 
so. Otherwise...tried to time precipitation through the morning per latest 
cams at all airfields...however with low confidence. For the 
afternoon/evening probability of precipitation are highest over western NC adjacent to 
approaching upper low...thus kavl/khky have prevailing rain showers with 
thunderstorms in the vicinity while the remaining sites feature vcsh with prob30s for thunderstorms and rain. 


Outlook...the pattern will finally return to more of a diurnal 
nature on Monday as the upper low ejects northeast. This diurnal 
precipitation trend will persist through most of the work week. 
Restrictions will remain a possibility each afternoon due to 
shra/tsra...and also each morning where previous rains have occurred. 


Confidence table... 


05-11z 11-17z 17-23z 23-00z 
kclt high 100% high 94% high 100% high 100% 
kgsp high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
kavl low 57% medium 78% high 85% high 100% 
khky high 100% medium 66% high 95% high 100% 
kgmu high 100% high 100% high 95% high 100% 
kand high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 


The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing 
with the scheduled taf issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly 
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts 
are available at the following link: (must be lower case) 


Www.Weather.Gov/gsp/aviation_tables 


&& 


Gsp watches/warnings/advisories... 
Georgia...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for gaz010-017-018-026- 
028-029. 
NC...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for ncz048-051-052-058- 
059-062-063. 
SC...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for scz001-004. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...level 
near term...cdg/csh/hg 
short term...jdl 
long term...level 
aviation...cdg 



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