Waxhaw, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 45°
  • Light Rain
  • Wind: NE 7 mph
  • Humidity: 93%
  • Visibility: 5.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 43°
  • Pressure: 30.18 in. -
  • Heat Index: 41

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Next 12 Hours

10  am
1  pm
4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Rain
Rain
Rain
Rain
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
48°
54°
64°
66°
66°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 68 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 59 °
  • Low: 39 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 52 °
  • Low: 30 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 55 °
  • Low: 34 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Waxhaw, North Carolina

Updated: 10:00 PM EST on November 22, 2014

  • Sunday

    Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain in the afternoon. Fog early. High of 68F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain showers. Low of 66F. Breezy. Winds from the SSE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 1.0 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Overcast with a chance of rain in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 70F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 41F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy in the morning, then overcast. High of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy in the evening, then overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 39F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 52F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast in the evening, then partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 55F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 61F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 34F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 36F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 61F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. Fog early. High of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Waxaw - Lawson, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 10:34 AM EST

Temperature: 45.4 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.03 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Providence Grove, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 10:30 AM EST

Temperature: 45.3 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Oakbrook, Marvin, NC

Updated: 10:30 AM EST

Temperature: 45.9 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Chastain Village, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 10:29 AM EST

Temperature: 45.9 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: ESE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Farmbrook, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 10:27 AM EST

Temperature: 46.6 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Willow Oaks, Weddington, NC

Updated: 9:43 AM EST

Temperature: 44.8 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: NE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Firethorne Country Club, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 10:33 AM EST

Temperature: 46.1 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: ENE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.49 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.06 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Van Wyck, SC

Updated: 10:34 AM EST

Temperature: 45.7 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.03 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Holly Park Villas, Indian Trail, NC

Updated: 10:23 AM EST

Temperature: 45.5 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: East at 4.3 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Alton, Monroe, NC

Updated: 10:34 AM EST

Temperature: 44.9 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: NE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Bridgehampton, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:26 AM EST

Temperature: 46.0 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Ballantyne, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:31 AM EST

Temperature: 46.4 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Ballantyne, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:34 AM EST

Temperature: 47.0 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: ENE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Inverness at Piper Glen, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:21 AM EST

Temperature: 45.7 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Walnut Creek, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:34 AM EST

Temperature: 45.7 °F Dew Point: -50 °F Humidity: - Wind: NE at 3.1 mph Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Lake Park, Indian Trail, NC

Updated: 10:33 AM EST

Temperature: 45.5 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: ENE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Charlotte Country Day School, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:25 AM EST

Temperature: 45.4 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Providence Springs, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:26 AM EST

Temperature: 45.2 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Bonterra, Indian Trail, NC

Updated: 10:34 AM EST

Temperature: 45.5 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Innisfree, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:33 AM EST

Temperature: 44.8 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: SoCltColRea, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:34 AM EST

Temperature: 44.8 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Walter Elisha Park Area, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 10:30 AM EST

Temperature: 44.6 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: SE at 5.4 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Sardis View Lane, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 10:33 AM EST

Temperature: 45.2 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: City of Lancaster, Lancaster, SC

Updated: 10:34 AM EST

Temperature: 48.0 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: ENE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.06 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Campobello Drive, Unionville, NC

Updated: 10:30 AM EST

Temperature: 45.9 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Fairfield Plantation, Stallings, NC

Updated: 10:30 AM EST

Temperature: 46.6 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: East at 2.2 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 
1012 am EST sun Nov 23 2014 


Synopsis... 
moisture will increase rapidly in advance of a cold front that will 
move over the region on Monday. A coastal low is then expected to 
develop off the southeast coast and move up the Atlantic Seaboard on 
Wednesday and Thursday. High pressure will spread back over the area 
by the end of the week. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
1000 am EST Sunday update...latest radar trend indicates that 
widespread bands of moderate rain with isolated heavy rain were 
pushing northward across our County Warning Area as a series of upper disturbances 
ripple through the region in southwesterly flow aloft. Hence...have increased 
probability of precipitation to 90-100% range for entire County Warning Area this morning through the afternoon 
hours. Also...have update quantitative precipitation forecast per latest wpc guidance...suggesting 
1.5-2 inches of rainfall across much of the County Warning Area with higher amounts 
over the Blue Ridge Escarpment. The latest 12z NAM continues to 
highlight persistent in-situ cad throughout the day...before eroding 
by around 00z-03z. Therefore...some degree of elevated buoyancy will 
have been pushed farther north into at least southern half of the 
County Warning Area by this evening. Hence...will continue to mention slight to low 
end chance for thunder mainly over the Piedmont. 


As of 640 am...a lull in the more widespread precipitation associated 
with warm upglide is now moving into the western third of the 
County warning forecast area...with the warm front now positioned from around Macon Georgia east 
to Charleston. There is some more intense rain falling along the 
front which may be robbing moisture from our area and accounting for 
the lull. Nonetheless latest guidance still supports probability of precipitation increasing 
from midday to late afternoon as the warm front nears and elevated 
instability comes into play. Temperatures are likely to remain nearly 
steady through middle morning due to wet bulb effects offsetting any solar 
warming. 


As of 315 am...cool high pressure centered off the Outer Banks will 
continue to move east today. However as a deep trough moves into the 
Mississippi Valley and is preceded by a southern-stream shortwave over 
the Gulf south...deep SW flow will provide ample moisture and warm 
air advection into northern Georgia and the Carolinas. Increasingly widespread 
rainfall will result over the County warning forecast area this morning...and a brief in- 
situ cad event will develop. Temperatures today will be 7 to 10 degrees 
below climatology under cloudy and damp conditions. It appears temperatures will 
be warm enough to preclude any ptype issues even in the high 
elevations. To our West Heights will fall through the day with the 
leading shortwave lifting from the Gulf Coast today to the upper 
Ohio Valley at daybreak Monday...with the larger trough not pushing 
much past the MS river by that time. The leading wave will bring a 
warm front through the area this evening which has some potential to 
erode the cad. However the GFS and especially the NAM suggest that 
The Wedge will remain entrenched at the surface through the night 
tonight...though very shallow. 


The NAM/GFS/sref all indicate elevated instability above The Wedge 
inversion along and behind the warm front and this is the primary 
reason we will include thunder in the forecast. A few sref members 
do retreat The Wedge boundary northward enough to bring SBCAPE values of 
under 100 j to about I-85. Even small buoyancy will be enough to 
cause some concern for damaging wind or a brief spin-up tornados due to the 
tremendous shear parameters that will be present. This due to the 
very strong low to midlevel flow forced by the shortwave in 
conjunction with backed near-surface flow. Deep layer hodographs are 
very impressive and looping...producing helicities of several 
hundred m2/s2 at their peak this afternoon. Effective srh plots are a 
more muted 100-200 m2/s2 on account of the minimal buoyancy at that 
time. By the time that sbcapes exhibit their small peak...the shear 
numbers are already past their prime. Storm Prediction Center has largely carved US out 
of any risk area in the day 1 graphic...but did include our srnmost 
zones in a 5 percent wind threat area...these areas seeing the best 
chance of destabilizing before the shear/helicity weaken. We will 
nonetheless be closely monitoring the convective situation this 
afternoon particularly south of The Wedge front. 


We have been watching hydrologic threats with this event for several 
days and thinking remains largely the same. The upglide itself is not 
especially impressive until the moisture advection and lift are aided 
by the shortwave this afternoon. This is when our rainfall rates will 
be greatest. Overall quantitative precipitation forecast numbers from various models are in the same 
ballpark. The fast motion of the low is largely responsible for 
keeping Hydro threats to a minimum...but the recent dry weather of 
course suggests soils have relatively high capacity. 


&& 


Short term /Monday through Wednesday/... 
as of 320 am Sunday...a cold front will progress across the area at 
a rather deliberate pace on Monday...likely taking a good chunk of 
the day before to completely clear the forecast area. The NAM 
continues to insist on developing some rather substantial Cape 
Monday afternoon across the Piedmont. And while I do have doubts 
that the upper 60s dewpoints that the NAM is advertising will be 
realized...it stands to reason that instability will be more 
significant than that advertised by the GFS...which is probably 
sweeping the front across the area too quickly. Having said that... 
forecast soundings are quite warm in the mid-levels...and it/S not 
at all clear that air parcels will be able to overcome that... 
especially in the absence of significant forcing. Therefore...will 
continue to hold probability of precipitation down in the slight chance range (for showers) 
Monday afternoon. The bigger story will be the winds...as forecast 
soundings depict a very deep mixed layer...with as much as 60 kts 
(!) Of SW flow at the top of the bl. With only a 4-6 mb surface 
gradient advertised across the forecast area...I doubt we/ll realize 
anything approaching that degree of gustiness. Nevertheless...gusts 
as high as 40 miles per hour can be expected Monday afternoon. 


A return to cooler and drier conditions is expected by early Tuesday 
before uncertainty enters the forecast equation by Tuesday night and 
Wednesday. The main issue is with southern stream energy lifting out of 
the Texas...and across the southeast during this time frame. Each 
model has its own idea of how the pattern will evolve...particularly 
with how a northern stream wave dropping out of the northern rockies 
will interact with the southern stream wave/potential for phasing of 
the two streams. The European model (ecmwf) remains the most aggressive in keeping 
the streams separated through Wednesday...with the southern stream wave 
taking on a negative tilt orientation...and instigating strong 
cyclogenesis across the eastern Gulf Tuesday night...then tracking it 
very close to the southeast Atlantic coast. Meanwhile...the GFS is a 
little farther off shore and not as deep with the cyclone...while 
the NAM depicts nothing more than a weak wave off the coast by early 
Wednesday. It/S also somewhat disconcerting that there appears to be only 
a single sref member that is ec-like. Nevertheless...based upon the 
fact that even a GFS solution develops some precipitation into our eastern 
zones Tuesday night...will continue to advertise solid chance probability of precipitation 
across the NC Piedmont by Wednesday morning...with low chance as far west 
as the Blue Ridge. Will continue to feature mountain rain/snow 
possibilities...with generally all liquid outside the mountains 
however...it should be stated that if the situation evolves in an 
ecwmf-like manner...significant snowfall will be possible across 
portions of the mountains late Tuesday night into Wednesday. 


&& 


Long term /Wednesday night through Saturday/... 
as of 345 am...the medium range appears largely cool...dry...and 
uneventful...as a low amplitude long wave trough becomes established 
over the eastern Continental U.S.. the European model (ecmwf) depicts progression of a cold 
front into the region by the end of the week...associated with an 
area of height falls overspreading the Great Lakes. However...it is 
not at all clear if sufficient moisture will be available to support 
precipitation chances over our area. 


&& 


Aviation /15z Sunday through Thursday/... 
at kclt...warm air and moisture advection will gradually 
increase today bringing lowering ceilings and reinforcing cold air 
damming over the area. Guidance fairly solid on ceiling lowering to LIFR 
by late afternoon as rain continues and forcing peaks aloft with the 
passage of a short wave trough. The Wedge boundary is most likely to stay S 
of kclt until this evening...but isolated elevated convection could 
result in ts earlier in the afternoon. Best chance however is around 
sunset with the boundary nearing while some diurnal buoyancy still 
exists. Though some drying will occur Sunday evening...there is not 
a good scouring mechanism for the cad and only slight improvement to 
ceiling is expected overnight. Winds NE until going southeast this evening as 
wedge starts to weaken. Have included low level wind shear mention this afternoon and 
evening where suggested by model winds...with very strong flow 
present above the planetary boundary layer ahead of the shortwave. 


Elsewhere...trends much like kclt. Have included a low-end thunderstorms and rain 
mention in the late afternoon at the SC sites as they are most likely to 
be affected by activity near The Wedge boundary. Low level wind shear is included 
mainly in vicinity of the shortwave passage...but at kavl the flow remains 
strong enough tonight to include through 12z. Wind changes overall are 
similar in progression with the exception of kavl which will see 
southeast winds throughout the period. 


Outlook...brief drying follows a cold front Mon-Tue...with rain 
and/or wintry precipitation possibly returning Wednesday. More settled weather 
will return to end the week. 


Confidence table... 


15-21z 21-03z 03-09z 09-12z 
kclt medium 69% high 97% medium 75% medium 67% 
kgsp high 94% high 100% high 80% medium 77% 
kavl high 94% high 89% high 86% medium 66% 
khky high 91% high 100% high 100% low 59% 
kgmu high 94% high 97% high 89% medium 73% 
kand high 94% high 97% medium 63% low 46% 


The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing 
with the scheduled taf issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly 
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts 
are available at the following link: (must be lower case) 


Www.Weather.Gov/gsp/aviation_tables 


&& 


Gsp watches/warnings/advisories... 
Georgia...none. 
NC...none. 
SC...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...jdl 
near term...joh/Wimberley 
short term...jdl 
long term...jdl 
aviation...Wimberley 



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