Waxhaw, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 93°
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wind: SW 8 mph
  • Humidity: 52%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 73°
  • Pressure: 29.94 in. -
  • Heat Index: 102

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Next 12 Hours

2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
2  am
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
93°
91°
81°
77°
76°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Friday
  • Clear
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Clear
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 94 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Clear
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 69 °
  • Clear
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Waxhaw, North Carolina

Updated: 1:16 PM EDT on July 30, 2015

  • This Afternoon

    Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Near steady temperatures in the lower 90s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Tonight

    Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

  • Friday

    Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds around 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds around 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night through Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Gragson Estate, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 2:08 PM EDT

Temperature: 91.6 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.50 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Waxhaw - Riverbank, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 11:13 AM EDT

Temperature: 94.3 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Hastings Road, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 2:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 94.5 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.15 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Providence Grove, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 2:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 95.7 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Weddington Chase - Marvin, NC, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 1:59 PM EDT

Temperature: 93.2 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: ENE at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Beechwood - Marvin NC, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 1:59 PM EDT

Temperature: 92.5 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Oakbrook, Marvin, NC

Updated: 1:56 PM EDT

Temperature: 93.8 °F Dew Point: 81 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 115 °F Graphs

Location: Hollister, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 2:08 PM EDT

Temperature: 93.6 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Chastain Village, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 2:01 PM EDT

Temperature: 95.9 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.63 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 109 °F Graphs

Location: Farmbrook, Waxhaw, NC

Updated: 1:58 PM EDT

Temperature: 96.3 °F Dew Point: 80 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 117 °F Graphs

Location: Partridge Lane, Matthews, NC

Updated: 2:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 93.9 °F Dew Point: 81 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 115 °F Graphs

Location: Tyndale Court, Marvin, NC

Updated: 2:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 89.1 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Willow Oaks, Weddington, NC

Updated: 2:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 92.2 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Van Wyck, SC

Updated: 2:08 PM EDT

Temperature: 92.4 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: NW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Providence Crossing, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 2:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 98.1 °F Dew Point: 82 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 122 °F Graphs

Location: Alton, Monroe, NC

Updated: 2:08 PM EDT

Temperature: 82.1 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: East at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.03 in Heat Index: 91 °F Graphs

Location: Provincetowne, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 2:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 89.6 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Reavencrest, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 1:55 PM EDT

Temperature: 95.2 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: NW at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Bridgehampton, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 2:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 95.7 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 110 °F Graphs

Location: Bridgehampton SC, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 2:04 PM EDT

Temperature: 93.6 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: NE at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 104 °F Graphs

Location: Rosemont, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 2:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 95.8 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: West at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Argentum Avenue, Fort Mill, SC

Updated: 2:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 99.9 °F Dew Point: 83 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 128 °F Graphs

Location: Savannah Hills, Matthews, NC

Updated: 1:53 PM EDT

Temperature: 94.1 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: SSW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.67 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Providence Plantation, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 2:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 91.6 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.17 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Inverness at Piper Glen, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 2:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 92.7 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: West Green Street, Monroe, NC

Updated: 2:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 85.1 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 95 °F Graphs

Location: Providence Plantation, Charlotte, NC

Updated: 2:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 94.6 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Kerry Greens, Matthews, NC

Updated: 1:59 PM EDT

Temperature: 95.9 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: NNE at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 
136 PM EDT Thursday Jul 30 2015 


Synopsis... 
a cold front will move into the region from the northwest 
today and settle southeast of the area tonight through Friday. The 
front and associated deeper moisture will likely remain confined 
along the southeast coastline through the weekend...with slightly 
cooler temperatures and much drier air expected over the forecast 
area. Low level moisture will gradually return early next week as 
another cold front approaches from the north. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
as of 130 PM...isolated to widely scattered convection has begun to 
develop across the County warning forecast area...in line with the current pop trends. Temperatures 
and dewpoints are also on track. So no significant changes with this 
update. 


As of 1015 am...the 12z surface analysis showed the cold front pushing 
into the smokies and great tenn valley. The front will continue to 
push across the mountains through midday...then across the Piedmont this afternoon. 
There is less cloud cover at this time of day than the last few 
days. So temperatures are warming quickly...despite humid bl...with dewpoints 
still in the Lower-Middle 70s. This is resulting in SBCAPE already in the 
1500-2500 j/kg range on the Storm Prediction Center mesoanalysis Page across the Piedmont. 
I have bumped maximum temperatures up a degree or two given the trends. As for 
probability of precipitation...one would expect decent coverage of showers and thunderstorms...given 
decent instability and a boundary working through the area. However...the 
latest cams are a bit muted. I tried blending in cam pop...but that 
dropped pop down across much of the area. So I pretty much kept probability of precipitation 
as is...which is in the 30-40 percent range. Severe threat is still 
marginal...with wind being the main threat. 


As of 650 am...the forecast appears in good shape. I will Taylor 
probability of precipitation to reflect light returns over the western NC mountains in 
addition...I will reduce fog mention. 


As of 345 am...latest surface analysis indicated that a cold front was 
crossing middle Kentucky and Tennessee...moving east. Based on recent observation 
trends and model guidance...the cold front is expected to sweep 
across the southern Appalachians around middle day...reaching the 
Piedmont late this afternoon/early evening. MOS guidance indicates 
that high temperatures should range in the middle 80s within the mountain 
valleys to low to middle 90s east. Surface dewpoints are forecast to remain 
between 66 to 71 degrees during the heat of the afternoon. Model 
soundings and Plain View show convective available potential energy generally ranging near 2000 
j/kg. NAM and rap dcape increase to values greater than 1000 j/kg 
along and ahead of the front. Based on the NAM...a broken band of 
thunderstorms and rain should develop along and ahead of the front. The convection may 
cross the mountains during the morning daylight hours...sliding across 
the Piedmont during the early to middle afternoon. In the wake of the 
band...scattered discrete cells may develop...moving east by sunset. Given 
the moderate cape...a wide field of dcape...and the daytime passage 
of a cold front...it appears that several storms could produce 
damaging wind gusts. Hail is possible...but high wbz should limit 
hail size to less than severe. We will highlight the severe 
potential in the severe weather potential statement. 


Tonight...weak cold air advection and falling dewpoints will increase from northwest to southeast 
in the wake of the front. Sky cover should clear from west to 
east...with most of the area under little cloud cover by dawn 
Friday. Given the light north-northwest winds...the coolest thicknesses should 
remain over the mountains I will forecast lows in the 50s and 60s across 
the mountains...with low 70s east. 


&& 


Short term /Friday through Sunday night/... 
as of 330 am EDT Thursday...a broad eastern trough will develop on 
Friday. Under this trough...drier air will spill into the region 
from the north as a departing surface front settles to the southeast 
coast and surface high pressure stretches from the middle MS River 
Valley to the southern and central Appalachians. Dewpoints 
advecting/mixing well down in the 50s in most areas will largely 
preclude any convection on Friday...with any isolated showers confined 
to the extreme lower Piedmont during the afternoon hours. 


The eastern trough will amplify over the weekend as a series of 
shortwaves move through the mean trough axis. Dry surface high pressure 
will remain in place on Saturday...with a weakly reinforcing surface 
front approaching from the north late in the day. Isolated shower or 
weak thunderstorm coverage may occur late day just north of the region along the 
front and also across the southern tier where dewpoints may recover 
ever so slightly. 


The airmass will continue to modify on Sunday...but with moisture 
very slow to return. The shortwaves moving through the eastern trough 
will remain difficult to time...but there is developing consensus on 
stronger q vector convergence with a shortwave late Sunday into 
Sunday night just as moisture rebounds slightly. This will warrant 
better isolated coverage of rain showers/thunderstorms and rain late Sunday...with more of a non 
diurnal isolated nighttime pop mention on Sunday night. Temperatures 
will remain near to slightly above climatology through the period. 


&& 


Long term /Monday through Thursday/... 
as of 330 am EDT Thursday...model consensus depicts slight 
shallowing of the eastern trough Monday through Wednesday. Meanwhile... 
a more vigorous surface cold front will move south of the Great 
Lakes on Monday and approach the forecast area from the north on 
Tuesday. There is considerable medium range model spread on how far 
south the front gets...with the European model (ecmwf) generally stalling the 
boundary north of the area...while the GFS and associated ensembles 
bring it at least into the northern tier before turning it around as a 
warm front on Wednesday. A consensus approach will keep the boundary 
north of the area but feature an uptick in diurnal afternoon convective 
coverage ahead of the front as the boundary layer continues to 
rebound and lapse rates further steepen aloft. Temperatures will 
gradually warm through the period. 


&& 


Aviation /18z Thursday through Tuesday/... 
at kclt...a rather weak and nebulous cold front will cross the kclt 
area this evening. It is helping to initiate convection across the 
blue and NC foothills north of kclt...and that activity will drift south 
across the area between 19-22z. Guidance has some isolated convection 
developing along the trailing front after 00z this evening across the 
NC Piedmont. Confidence is low on this...as dry air will begin to 
filter in and the bl will be stabilizing. So will not mention any 
precipitation beyond the tempo. Overnight...there is better agreement on 
lingering VFR stratocu well into the night...as moisture lingers 
below a developing inversion around 5000-7000 feet above ground level. Dry air will 
eventually clear this out Friday morning. Winds are already favoring 
a north direction ahead of the front...and will continue to through the 
period...increasing behind the front to around 8-10 kts before 
daybreak Friday. 


Elsewhere...scattered convection this afternoon seems to warrant thunderstorms in the vicinity for 
all sites. Cloud bases will hover around 4500-6000 feet...then lift to 
around 7000-8000 feet behind a passing cold front this evening. The 
NAM has potential MVFR ceilings at kavl for a brief time this 
evening...so will mention scattered for now. A north wind will increase 
slightly overnight...with dry air working in. So not expecting any 
fog or low clouds outside the little Tennessee River valley. The VFR-level 
stratocu is expected to dissipate Friday morning. 


Outlook...dry high pressure with build in across the region 
Friday...allowing for generally dry and quiet weather through the 
weekend. A gradual increase in chances for showers/thunderstorms and 
restrictions will return for the start of the new work week. 


Confidence table... 


17-23z 23-05z 05-11z 11-12z 
kclt high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
kgsp high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
kavl high 100% high 100% low 56% high 100% 
khky high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
kgmu high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 
kand high 100% high 100% high 100% high 100% 


The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing 
with the scheduled taf issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly 
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts 
are available at the following link: (must be lower case) 


Www.Weather.Gov/gsp/aviation_tables 


&& 


Gsp watches/warnings/advisories... 
Georgia...none. 
NC...none. 
SC...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...hg 
near term...Ark/Ned 
short term...hg 
long term...hg 
aviation...Arkansas 



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